Fertility Behavior of 1.5 and Second Generation Turkish Migrants in Germany

Sandra Krapf, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Katharina Wolf, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

This study investigates the differences of fertility patterns of 1.5 and second generation Turkish migrants compared to native Germans. Based on assimilation theory, we expect a decrease in fertility differences for younger migration generations compared to Germans. For the empirical analyses, we use new data from the German Mikrozensus (waves 2005 and 2009). In a first step, we investigate timing and spacing patterns of women in the age group 18 to 40 using survival curves. For the multivariate analyses, we run proportional hazard models to identify the effect of individual level characteristics on the transition to first and second births. Our key variable of interest is the educational attainment of respondents. As the second migrant generation has a higher educational status than the 1.5 generation, we will analyze in how far fertility differences over migrant generations are caused by the educational composition of the sample.