Mortality Inferences from Estimated Life-Table Aging Rates in a Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Framework

Filipe Ribeiro, Universidade de Évora
Trifon I. Missov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

We calculate life-table aging rates (LAR) for overall and cause-specific mortality by estimating a gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model and taking advantage of LAR’s parametric representation by Vaupel and Zhang (2010). For different HMD countries we study how the evolution of estimated LAR patterns (for overall mortality or specific causes of death) could explain observed 1) life expectancy dynamics, and 2) mortality improvement or deterioration at different ages. We compare our findings across countries (data from HMD) and major causes of death (data from WHO).