Thursday, May 1 / 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM   •   St. Botolph

Session 25:
Forecasting USA Mortality: Methods and New Findings

Discussant: Robert Schoen, Pennsylvania State University
Chair: Michael S. Pollard, RAND Corporation

  1. Life Expectancy in 2040: What Do Clinical Experts Expect? • Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Max Planck Odense Center ; Eva Dugoff, Johns Hopkins University ; Albert Wu, Johns Hopkins University ; Saifuddin Ahmed, Johns Hopkins University ; Gerard Anderson, Johns Hopkins University

  2. Dynamic Forecast of U.S. Life Expectancy at Birth within a Bayesian Framework • Christina Bohk, University of Rostock ; Roland Rau, University of Rostock

  3. Projecting Mortality for the Older Population in the United States: 2014 to 2060 • Jennifer M. Ortman, U.S. Census Bureau ; Peter Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau ; Heather King, Georgia State University

  4. Why Are We Getting Worse? A Historical Accounting of Modern U.S. Life Expectancy Disadvantage • James A. Yonker, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Other sessions on Health and Mortality